Ethereum in October: seasonality and history
Since 2015, Ethereum has risen in October in 64% of years (7 of 11), with an average return of +5.66% and a median of +2.28%. That makes October its #9 month of 12.
Average+5.66%
Years up64%
Best year2021 · +42.86%
Worst year2016 · −17.22%
The seasonal path through October
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through October, all years since 2015.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | +2.65% | 36% |
| Oct 25 | +2.36% | 64% |
| Oct 29 | +2.24% | 64% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | −2.61% | 27% |
| Oct 11 | −1.71% | 42% |
| Oct 10 | −1.69% | 33% |
Seasonal trend windows touching October
- ▲ Bullish Oct 22 – Oct 29 · 8 days · seasonal Σ +13.39%
October in recent years
| Year | Ethereum in October |
|---|---|
| 2025 | −7.21% |
| 2024 | −3.35% |
| 2023 | +8.69% |
| 2022 | +18.43% |
| 2021 | +42.86% |
| 2020 | +7.40% |
| 2019 | +2.28% |
| 2018 | −15.23% |
| 2017 | +1.03% |
| 2016 | −17.22% |
Questions
Is October a good month for Ethereum?
On average, yes: +5.66% since 2015, rising in 64% of years. But the range is wide, from −17.22% in 2016 to +42.86% in 2021, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in October?
Oct 22 (+2.65%, up 36% of years), Oct 25 (+2.36%, up 64% of years), Oct 29 (+2.24%, up 64% of years).