Nasdaq Composite in July: seasonality and history
Since 1971, the Nasdaq has risen in July in 57% of years (32 of 56), with an average return of +0.85% and a median of +1.12%. That makes July its #7 month of 12.
Average+0.85%
Years up57%
Best year2022 · +12.35%
Worst year2002 · −9.22%
The seasonal path through July
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through July, all years since 1971.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12 | +0.51% | 65% |
| Jul 9 | +0.38% | 88% |
| Jul 14 | +0.30% | 74% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23 | −0.38% | 50% |
| Jul 18 | −0.22% | 42% |
| Jul 28 | −0.20% | 50% |
Seasonal trend windows touching July
- ▲ Bullish Jun 27 – Jul 17 · 20 days · seasonal Σ +2.90%
July in recent years
| Year | Nasdaq in July |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −3.20% |
| 2025 | +3.70% |
| 2024 | −0.75% |
| 2023 | +4.05% |
| 2022 | +12.35% |
| 2021 | +1.16% |
| 2020 | +6.82% |
| 2019 | +2.11% |
| 2018 | +2.15% |
| 2017 | +3.38% |
Questions
Is July a good month for the Nasdaq?
On average, yes: +0.85% since 1971, rising in 57% of years. But the range is wide, from −9.22% in 2002 to +12.35% in 2022, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in July?
Jul 12 (+0.51%, up 65% of years), Jul 9 (+0.38%, up 88% of years), Jul 14 (+0.30%, up 74% of years).