Ethereum in July: seasonality and history
Since 2016, Ethereum has risen in July in 45% of years (5 of 11), with an average return of +10.73% and a median of −3.98%. That makes July its #6 month of 12.
Average+10.73%
Years up45%
Best year2022 · +57.55%
Worst year2017 · −27.48%
The seasonal path through July
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through July, all years since 2016.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18 | +4.08% | 64% |
| Jul 17 | +2.52% | 45% |
| Jul 2 | +2.40% | 64% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | −2.18% | 45% |
| Jul 11 | −1.76% | 27% |
| Jul 19 | −1.53% | 45% |
July in recent years
| Year | Ethereum in July |
|---|---|
| 2026 | +18.52% |
| 2025 | +48.67% |
| 2024 | −5.87% |
| 2023 | −3.98% |
| 2022 | +57.55% |
| 2021 | +11.50% |
| 2020 | +52.69% |
| 2019 | −24.78% |
| 2018 | −4.68% |
| 2017 | −27.48% |
Questions
Is July a good month for Ethereum?
On average, yes: +10.73% since 2016, rising in 45% of years. But the range is wide, from −27.48% in 2017 to +57.55% in 2022, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in July?
Jul 18 (+4.08%, up 64% of years), Jul 17 (+2.52%, up 45% of years), Jul 2 (+2.40%, up 64% of years).