Nasdaq-100 in July: seasonality and history
Since 1985, the Nasdaq-100 has risen in July in 67% of years (28 of 42), with an average return of +1.51% and a median of +2.55%. That makes July its #7 month of 12.
Average+1.51%
Years up67%
Best year1997 · +15.64%
Worst year1986 · −11.01%
The seasonal path through July
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through July, all years since 1985.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12 | +0.75% | 72% |
| Jul 14 | +0.49% | 73% |
| Jul 13 | +0.41% | 69% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23 | −0.55% | 50% |
| Jul 18 | −0.47% | 40% |
| Jul 19 | −0.27% | 45% |
Seasonal trend windows touching July
- ▲ Bullish Jun 27 – Jul 17 · 20 days · seasonal Σ +4.31%
- ▼ Bearish Jul 18 – Jul 24 · 7 days · seasonal Σ −1.66%
July in recent years
| Year | Nasdaq-100 in July |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −6.61% |
| 2025 | +2.38% |
| 2024 | −1.63% |
| 2023 | +3.81% |
| 2022 | +12.55% |
| 2021 | +2.78% |
| 2020 | +7.37% |
| 2019 | +2.32% |
| 2018 | +2.72% |
| 2017 | +4.13% |
Questions
Is July a good month for the Nasdaq-100?
On average, yes: +1.51% since 1985, rising in 67% of years. But the range is wide, from −11.01% in 1986 to +15.64% in 1997, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in July?
Jul 12 (+0.75%, up 72% of years), Jul 14 (+0.49%, up 73% of years), Jul 13 (+0.41%, up 69% of years).