Bitcoin in February: seasonality and history
Since 2011, Bitcoin has risen in February in 69% of years (11 of 16), with an average return of +12.84% and a median of +11.86%. That makes February its #5 month of 12.
Average+12.84%
Years up69%
Best year2011 · +63.81%
Worst year2014 · −31.37%
The seasonal path through February
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through February, all years since 2011.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1 | +2.85% | 75% |
| Feb 14 | +2.74% | 88% |
| Feb 8 | +2.29% | 62% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5 | −1.47% | 38% |
| Feb 25 | −1.14% | 31% |
| Feb 24 | −1.12% | 44% |
Seasonal trend windows touching February
- ▲ Bullish Feb 26 – Mar 5 · 9 days · seasonal Σ +8.11%
February in recent years
| Year | Bitcoin in February |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −14.79% |
| 2025 | −17.61% |
| 2024 | +43.72% |
| 2023 | +0.03% |
| 2022 | +12.24% |
| 2021 | +36.31% |
| 2020 | −8.03% |
| 2019 | +11.48% |
| 2018 | +1.73% |
| 2017 | +21.60% |
Questions
Is February a good month for Bitcoin?
On average, yes: +12.84% since 2011, rising in 69% of years. But the range is wide, from −31.37% in 2014 to +63.81% in 2011, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in February?
Feb 1 (+2.85%, up 75% of years), Feb 14 (+2.74%, up 88% of years), Feb 8 (+2.29%, up 62% of years).