Nasdaq-100 in February: seasonality and history
Since 1985, the Nasdaq-100 has risen in February in 48% of years (20 of 42), with an average return of +0.48% and a median of −0.28%. That makes February its #11 month of 12.
Average+0.48%
Years up48%
Best year2000 · +19.52%
Worst year2001 · −26.40%
The seasonal path through February
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through February, all years since 1985.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1 | +0.68% | 76% |
| Feb 15 | +0.48% | 74% |
| Feb 11 | +0.40% | 60% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27 | −0.71% | 42% |
| Feb 21 | −0.63% | 24% |
| Feb 16 | −0.37% | 39% |
Seasonal trend windows touching February
- ▲ Bullish Jan 28 – Feb 15 · 19 days · seasonal Σ +3.50%
- ▼ Bearish Feb 16 – Feb 29 · 14 days · seasonal Σ −2.28%
February in recent years
| Year | Nasdaq-100 in February |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −2.32% |
| 2025 | −2.76% |
| 2024 | +5.29% |
| 2023 | −0.49% |
| 2022 | −4.64% |
| 2021 | −0.12% |
| 2020 | −5.89% |
| 2019 | +2.76% |
| 2018 | −1.38% |
| 2017 | +4.17% |
Questions
Is February a good month for the Nasdaq-100?
On average, yes: +0.48% since 1985, rising in 48% of years. But the range is wide, from −26.40% in 2001 to +19.52% in 2000, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in February?
Feb 1 (+0.68%, up 76% of years), Feb 15 (+0.48%, up 74% of years), Feb 11 (+0.40%, up 60% of years).