Bitcoin in March: seasonality and history
Since 2011, Bitcoin has risen in March in 50% of years (8 of 16), with an average return of +10.08% and a median of −0.91%. That makes March its #7 month of 12.
Average+10.08%
Years up50%
Best year2013 · +181.34%
Worst year2018 · −32.93%
The seasonal path through March
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through March, all years since 2011.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1 | +2.63% | 81% |
| Mar 13 | +2.21% | 62% |
| Mar 19 | +2.03% | 69% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | −2.24% | 56% |
| Mar 18 | −1.43% | 38% |
| Mar 7 | −1.34% | 31% |
Seasonal trend windows touching March
- ▲ Bullish Feb 26 – Mar 5 · 9 days · seasonal Σ +8.11%
March in recent years
| Year | Bitcoin in March |
|---|---|
| 2026 | +1.85% |
| 2025 | −2.16% |
| 2024 | +16.56% |
| 2023 | +23.03% |
| 2022 | +5.43% |
| 2021 | +30.53% |
| 2020 | −25.13% |
| 2019 | +6.50% |
| 2018 | −32.93% |
| 2017 | −9.17% |
Questions
Is March a good month for Bitcoin?
On average, yes: +10.08% since 2011, rising in 50% of years. But the range is wide, from −32.93% in 2018 to +181.34% in 2013, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in March?
Mar 1 (+2.63%, up 81% of years), Mar 13 (+2.21%, up 62% of years), Mar 19 (+2.03%, up 69% of years).