Gold in March: seasonality and history
Since 2001, gold has risen in March in 46% of years (12 of 26), with an average return of +0.21% and a median of −0.44%. That makes March its #10 month of 12.
Average+0.21%
Years up46%
Best year2025 · +9.63%
Worst year2026 · −11.44%
The seasonal path through March
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through March, all years since 2001.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | +0.55% | 67% |
| Mar 31 | +0.43% | 67% |
| Mar 25 | +0.33% | 59% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | −0.48% | 37% |
| Mar 18 | −0.27% | 63% |
| Mar 28 | −0.25% | 32% |
Seasonal trend windows touching March
- ▼ Bearish Feb 25 – Mar 2 · 7 days · seasonal Σ −1.46%
- ▼ Bearish Mar 6 – Mar 15 · 10 days · seasonal Σ −0.96%
- ▲ Bullish Mar 30 – Apr 11 · 13 days · seasonal Σ +2.51%
March in recent years
| Year | Gold in March |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −11.44% |
| 2025 | +9.63% |
| 2024 | +7.92% |
| 2023 | +7.20% |
| 2022 | +2.55% |
| 2021 | −0.87% |
| 2020 | +1.23% |
| 2019 | −1.51% |
| 2018 | +0.55% |
| 2017 | −0.42% |
Questions
Is March a good month for gold?
On average, yes: +0.21% since 2001, rising in 46% of years. But the range is wide, from −11.44% in 2026 to +9.63% in 2025, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in March?
Mar 17 (+0.55%, up 67% of years), Mar 31 (+0.43%, up 67% of years), Mar 25 (+0.33%, up 59% of years).