Bitcoin in November: seasonality and history
Since 2010, Bitcoin has risen in November in 62% of years (10 of 16), with an average return of +34.54% and a median of +8.47%. That makes November its #1 month of 12.
Average+34.54%
Years up62%
Best year2013 · +450.61%
Worst year2018 · −36.41%
The seasonal path through November
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through November, all years since 2010.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | +4.09% | 56% |
| Nov 12 | +2.42% | 44% |
| Nov 4 | +2.22% | 75% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | −2.82% | 38% |
| Nov 9 | −1.47% | 44% |
| Nov 19 | −0.99% | 69% |
Seasonal trend windows touching November
- ▲ Bullish Oct 19 – Nov 6 · 19 days · seasonal Σ +23.81%
November in recent years
| Year | Bitcoin in November |
|---|---|
| 2025 | −17.49% |
| 2024 | +37.36% |
| 2023 | +8.78% |
| 2022 | −16.23% |
| 2021 | −7.03% |
| 2020 | +42.41% |
| 2019 | −17.72% |
| 2018 | −36.41% |
| 2017 | +58.21% |
| 2016 | +6.38% |
Questions
Is November a good month for Bitcoin?
On average, yes: +34.54% since 2010, rising in 62% of years. But the range is wide, from −36.41% in 2018 to +450.61% in 2013, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in November?
Nov 6 (+4.09%, up 56% of years), Nov 12 (+2.42%, up 44% of years), Nov 4 (+2.22%, up 75% of years).