Bitcoin in December: seasonality and history
Since 2010, Bitcoin has risen in December in 50% of years (8 of 16), with an average return of +10.10% and a median of +2.25%. That makes December its #6 month of 12.
Average+10.10%
Years up50%
Best year2011 · +58.94%
Worst year2013 · −34.82%
The seasonal path through December
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through December, all years since 2010.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19 | +2.40% | 50% |
| Dec 2 | +1.75% | 62% |
| Dec 11 | +1.66% | 56% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21 | −1.38% | 25% |
| Dec 9 | −1.26% | 38% |
| Dec 3 | −0.96% | 50% |
December in recent years
| Year | Bitcoin in December |
|---|---|
| 2025 | −3.19% |
| 2024 | −3.13% |
| 2023 | +12.07% |
| 2022 | −3.62% |
| 2021 | −18.77% |
| 2020 | +47.77% |
| 2019 | −4.97% |
| 2018 | −6.83% |
| 2017 | +38.33% |
| 2016 | +29.24% |
Questions
Is December a good month for Bitcoin?
On average, yes: +10.10% since 2010, rising in 50% of years. But the range is wide, from −34.82% in 2013 to +58.94% in 2011, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in December?
Dec 19 (+2.40%, up 50% of years), Dec 2 (+1.75%, up 62% of years), Dec 11 (+1.66%, up 56% of years).