Nasdaq-100 in November: seasonality and history
Since 1985, the Nasdaq-100 has risen in November in 68% of years (28 of 41), with an average return of +2.54% and a median of +2.39%. That makes November its #1 month of 12.
Average+2.54%
Years up68%
Best year2001 · +16.95%
Worst year2000 · −23.63%
The seasonal path through November
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through November, all years since 1985.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24 | +1.42% | 74% |
| Nov 5 | +0.71% | 72% |
| Nov 13 | +0.42% | 57% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20 | −0.46% | 43% |
| Nov 9 | −0.37% | 43% |
| Nov 30 | −0.36% | 39% |
Seasonal trend windows touching November
- ▲ Bullish Oct 28 – Nov 14 · 18 days · seasonal Σ +4.51%
- ▲ Bullish Nov 21 – Dec 8 · 18 days · seasonal Σ +4.61%
November in recent years
| Year | Nasdaq-100 in November |
|---|---|
| 2025 | −1.64% |
| 2024 | +5.23% |
| 2023 | +10.67% |
| 2022 | +5.48% |
| 2021 | +1.80% |
| 2020 | +11.00% |
| 2019 | +3.96% |
| 2018 | −0.26% |
| 2017 | +1.87% |
| 2016 | +0.20% |
Questions
Is November a good month for the Nasdaq-100?
On average, yes: +2.54% since 1985, rising in 68% of years. But the range is wide, from −23.63% in 2000 to +16.95% in 2001, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in November?
Nov 24 (+1.42%, up 74% of years), Nov 5 (+0.71%, up 72% of years), Nov 13 (+0.42%, up 57% of years).