The January barometer: As goes January, so goes the year?
"As goes January, so goes the year." Since 1958, when the S&P 500 rose in January the rest of the year (February to December) was also up 85% of the time (35 of 41). After a down January it was still up 63% of the time (17 of 27).
The last 15 years
| Year | January | Feb–Dec |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +2.70% | +13.33% |
| 2024 | +1.59% | +21.38% |
| 2023 | +6.18% | +17.01% |
| 2022 | −5.26% | −14.97% |
| 2021 | −1.11% | +28.32% |
| 2020 | −0.16% | +16.45% |
| 2019 | +7.87% | +19.48% |
| 2018 | +5.62% | −11.22% |
| 2017 | +1.79% | +17.32% |
| 2016 | −5.07% | +15.39% |
| 2015 | −3.10% | +2.45% |
| 2014 | −3.56% | +15.50% |
| 2013 | +5.04% | +23.38% |
| 2012 | +4.36% | +8.67% |
| 2011 | +2.26% | −2.22% |
Patterns describe the past and can stop working. Not investment advice.
See it in the calendar →Other patterns
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