Ethereum in January: seasonality and history
Since 2016, Ethereum has risen in January in 64% of years (7 of 11), with an average return of +27.31% and a median of +31.75%. That makes January its #2 month of 12.
Average+27.31%
Years up64%
Best year2016 · +136.36%
Worst year2022 · −27.00%
The seasonal path through January
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through January, all years since 2016.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | +4.49% | 73% |
| Jan 2 | +3.97% | 91% |
| Jan 14 | +3.79% | 73% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21 | −3.38% | 45% |
| Jan 16 | −1.94% | 45% |
| Jan 31 | −1.57% | 45% |
Seasonal trend windows touching January
- ▲ Bullish Jan 1 – Jan 20 · 20 days · seasonal Σ +23.71%
- ▲ Bullish Jan 23 – Jan 29 · 7 days · seasonal Σ +8.30%
January in recent years
| Year | Ethereum in January |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −17.59% |
| 2025 | −1.03% |
| 2024 | +0.05% |
| 2023 | +32.57% |
| 2022 | −27.00% |
| 2021 | +78.23% |
| 2020 | +39.00% |
| 2019 | −19.73% |
| 2018 | +47.78% |
| 2017 | +31.75% |
Questions
Is January a good month for Ethereum?
On average, yes: +27.31% since 2016, rising in 64% of years. But the range is wide, from −27.00% in 2022 to +136.36% in 2016, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in January?
Jan 3 (+4.49%, up 73% of years), Jan 2 (+3.97%, up 91% of years), Jan 14 (+3.79%, up 73% of years).