Crude oil (WTI) in June: seasonality and history
Since 1986, crude oil has risen in June in 56% of years (23 of 41), with an average return of +0.96% and a median of +2.24%. That makes June its #8 month of 12.
Average+0.96%
Years up56%
Best year2000 · +11.75%
Worst year2026 · −20.44%
The seasonal path through June
Cumulative sum of each day's average return through June, all years since 1986.
| Strongest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13 | +0.75% | 68% |
| Jun 22 | +0.71% | 63% |
| Jun 29 | +0.65% | 64% |
| Weakest days | Avg | Up |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19 | −0.64% | 27% |
| Jun 15 | −0.57% | 45% |
| Jun 24 | −0.47% | 52% |
June in recent years
| Year | Crude oil in June |
|---|---|
| 2026 | −20.44% |
| 2025 | +7.11% |
| 2024 | +5.91% |
| 2023 | +3.75% |
| 2022 | −7.77% |
| 2021 | +10.78% |
| 2020 | +10.65% |
| 2019 | +9.29% |
| 2018 | +10.61% |
| 2017 | −4.72% |
Questions
Is June a good month for crude oil?
On average, yes: +0.96% since 1986, rising in 56% of years. But the range is wide, from −20.44% in 2026 to +11.75% in 2000, so an average is a tendency, not a forecast.
What are the strongest days in June?
Jun 13 (+0.75%, up 68% of years), Jun 22 (+0.71%, up 63% of years), Jun 29 (+0.65%, up 64% of years).